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22 May 2024

ENTSO-E and ENTSOG release their joint Draft Scenarios for TYNDP 2024

ENTSO-E and ENTSOG have released today their draft joint Scenarios, which will be the basis for the electricity and gas Ten-Year Network Development Plans (TYNDPs) 2024. These joint electricity, hydrogen and natural gas Scenarios are the fourth of their kind, building upon the successive scenario cycle since the first joint scenarios in 2018.

Scenarios evaluate the interactions between the electricity and gas systems, vital to delivering the best assessment of the infrastructure from an integrated system perspective. Supply and demand data collected from both gas and electricity TSOs are used to build ‘National Trends’, the central policy-based scenario, reflecting Member States’ energy and climate policies and recognising EU climate targets. The ‘Global Ambition’ and ‘Distributed Energy’ scenarios are developed as full energy scenarios (not limited to gas and electricity) and are built in line with the efforts of the EU-27 to reduce GHG emissions to 55% by 2030 and to net-zero by 2050.

12 January 2024

ENTSO-E and ENTSOG publish the summary report of the public consultation feedback on the 2024 scenarios input data and methodology

With the objective to improve the quantification of underlying assumptions for the Ten-Year Network Development Plan (TYNDP) 2024 scenarios, ENTSO-E and ENTSOG conducted a public consultation on TYNDP 2024 Scenarios Input Parameters from 4 July to 8 August 2023. The summary report (download PDF) provides an overview of the feedback received and explains how ENTSO-E and ENTSOG integrated stakeholders’ comments when finalising the input data and methodology.

The public consultation addressed the following key topics:

  • Data consistency with respect to the storylines of the DA & GA Scenarios;
  • Technology costs and energy prices;
  • Modelling methodologies used;
  • Technology-specific assumptions; and
  • Potential improvements for future TYNDP Scenarios editions. In total, 30 stakeholders from diverse sectors engaged in the public consultation.

In addition to the public consultation, ENTSO-E and ENTSOG jointly organised a hybrid workshop and stakeholder roundtables on 13 July 2023. In this event, stakeholders were prompted to share their views and discuss key topics and datasets with the Scenario Building Team. The presentation of the webinars, in addition to the summaries of the stakeholder roundtable, are available on the TYNDP 2024 Scenarios Website.

Updated demand input data after the public consultation is also available here (download Excel), as well as all stakeholders feedback received (download Excel).

11 August 2023

ENTSO-E and ENTSOG publish the list of members of the Scenarios Stakeholder Reference Group (Scenarios SRG)

Today, ENTSO-E and ENTSOG published the list of members of the Scenarios Stakeholder Reference Group (Scenarios SRG), a group that will provide expert advice to ENTSO-E and ENTSOG to assist with the development of the TYNDP scenarios. This group will develop their input independently of ENTSO-E and ENTSOG.

4 July 2023

ENTSO-E and ENTSOG launch public consultation on TYNDP 2024 Scenarios Input Parameters & announce stakeholder roundtables

Today, ENTSO-E and ENTSOG publish their Storyline Report and several key underlying data sets and modelling methodologies as a first deliverable in the formal process for TYNDP 2024 scenario building, as required by Regulations 943/2019 and 715/2009. All stakeholders are invited to provide feedback until 8 August 2023.

About TYNDP scenarios

Scenarios are a prerequisite for any study analysing the future of the European energy system. Regulation (EU) 2022/869 (‘Regulation’) requires that ENTSOG and ENTSO-E jointly develop scenarios for the future European energy system in the context of their respective Ten-Year Network Development Plans (TYNDPs). According to the Regulation, these “scenarios are fully in line with the energy efficiency first principle and with the Union’s 2030 targets for energy and climate and its 2050 climate neutrality objective and shall take into account the latest available Commission scenarios, as well as, when relevant, the national energy and climate plans (‘NECPs’)”.